Confirmation Bias Essay

substantiation bias preempt make up ones mind perceptions is about non scarce what has already occurred but in addition our predictions of what yet occur. Confirmation bias can generate their consume arrests, some of these perceptions and predictions (Myers, 2012, p. 72). The phenomenon of confirmation bias starts with overconfidence, which can originate in a omit of fellowship regarding a topic or assign. It I was to ask someone that is confident if they were expert at some task or operation in which they no experience or expertise, they would answer with a resounding affirmation that they would be good at any task they do. However, this overconfidence may only be born(p) of an ignorance of what the task or operation in reality requires to be performed successfully. Sometimes it is our memories that lead us astray into a false confidence. computer storage times when we were almost right perchance (Myers, 2012, p. 75). We can oft remember what we deficiency to remem ber rather than what actually occurred. We often hear what we wanted to hear. Sometimes we until now tell ourselves there were reasons for some of our slight conscious actions. Intellectual pretense is a phenomenon that fortifies and cultivates the occurrence of confirmation bias. Myers (2012) states The intellectual self-confidence evident in judgments of past knowledge (I knew it all along) extends to estimates of certain knowledge and predictions of future behavior. We know weve messed up in the past. But we have more(prenominal) positive expectations for our future performance in meeting deadlines, managing relationships, following an exercise routine, and so forth (p. 72).Another statement by Myers (2012) is The construction of positive memories brightens our recollections (p. 77). I remember this tendency helps us not only to develop enough intellectual deceit to become overconfident which leads to bias, but also this inherent psychosocial, psychological trait or habit causes us to recall our former thoughts, intentions, and actions insuch a mien that sheds favorable enough light on them for us to then perceive if not generate some sort of confirmation of our bias.